US

Stay up to date on commentary related specifically to US markets.

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US

What's Going On…With Inflation

Inflation's trend has been favorable this year, but a growing conflict in Iran—combined with already-imposed tariffs—might put upward pressure in prices later this year.

Markets and Economy

Schwab Market Update

Stocks recovered from overnight lows and crude fell from highs as investors digested the U.S. strike on Iran. Treasuries and the dollar rose in possible defensive positioning.

Markets and Economy

Fed Keeps Rates Steady, Says Risks Still Elevated

The Fed held the federal funds rate steady but noted that the risks of inflation and potentially higher unemployment remained high.

Markets and Economy

Schwab Market Perspective: 2025 Mid-Year Outlook

Tariff policy has clouded expectations for the second half of the year, but there are ways to navigate through the fog.

US

2025 Mid-Year Outlook: U.S. Stocks and Economy

The U.S. economy and stock market face a confluence of challenges in the second half of the year, keeping the bar relatively (but not restrictively) high for outperformance.

Markets and Economy

Fixed Income Outlook: Cool and Cloudy

Bouts of volatility may continue in the second half of 2025 as bond market investors navigate evolving tariff policy, U.S. government debt, and economic uncertainty.

Government Policy

Are Tariffs Over? Court Ruling Isn't the End

Trump's tariffs now face a legal battle. Tariffs may be less arbitrary and reduced in severity or duration, but the next steps are complicated and likely to extend uncertainty.

Markets and Economy

Credit Spreads: Under the Radar, but Influential

Corporate credit spreads, whether investment grade or high yield, can often hint at hiccups in the stock market and the economy. But they tend to keep a low profile.

US

No Hard Feelings: Soft vs. Hard Divide Persists

There is still a wide divergence between hard and soft data, and a recovery in the latter is likely to be weak absent a meaningful reduction in policy uncertainty.

US

Hate It or Love It: Sentiment's Message

The April plunge in stocks ushered in a huge washout in investor sentiment, but more so on the attitudinal side as opposed to the behavioral side.

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